MODEL LIVE // APR 17, 2026 SCANNING 18+ BOOKS
MLB · REG SEASON 16 GAMES TONIGHT 78 SIGNALS ACTIVE
MLB · NEURAL EDGE ENGINE

The model sees
every pitch,
every plate appearance.

6.8M pitches modeled. Every MLB game, every line, every prop — priced against model probability in real time. Not box scores. Not vibes. Pure expected value.

APPLY FOR ACCESS → SEE TONIGHT'S PICKS
// PITCH MODELLIVE
+23.4u7D PNL
WIN RATE58.3%
TOP EDGE+186.2%
// PROPS SCANNER620
CONFIDENCE91.6%
MLB WIN RATE · YTD
58.3%
824W · 589L
MLB P&L · YTD
+186.2u
+$18,620 @ $100/u
AVG EV EDGE
+32.4%
Over implied book probability
PROPS TRACKED
620
K · H · HR · RBI · TB · SB · SV
// LIVE SIGNALS →
// picks.today()

Tonight's MLB board,
ranked by edge.

MODEL LIVE LAST RUN · 00:07 AGO 16 GAMES
edge-terminal — mlb/picks.live $ streaming_
ALL16
MONEYLINE16
RUN LINE16
TOTALS16
F516
PROPS620
LIVE3
# MATCHUP 1ST PITCH MARKET ODDS PICK EV EDGE PROB EDGE %
// props.top()

Top player prop edges.

L15 HIT RATE SHOWN · 620 tracked
// model.architecture

Built for the diamond.
Not retrofit from a team-sport model.

Baseball is the longest season in sports — 162 games, six-man rotations, bullpen chains, daily lineup churn. Park factors swing totals by two runs. Weather. Umpire strike zones. Platoon splits. Every MLB-specific variable is encoded. The result: calibrated probabilities within 0.3% deviation across 12 seasons of outcomes.

[ 01 ] PITCH-LEVEL ENGINE
Per-pitch calibration
The model is trained on 6.8M individual pitches over 12 seasons. Every Statcast release-speed, spin, and location feeds the probability layer. Per-pitch priors beat per-game ERA regressions every time.
[ 02 ] LINEUP & MATCHUP TRACKER
Platoon-aware adjustments
Lineups drop 3 hours before first pitch. The model re-prices every market against projected L/R splits, batter-vs-pitcher history, and spot starter usage — factoring bullpen fatigue and opener strategy.
[ 03 ] PARK & WEATHER PRIORS
Environment-adjusted totals
Most books use team RPG. We use park-factor-adjusted expected runs × wind vector × temperature. On heavy-air Coors nights or wind-in at Wrigley, totals books lag the market by 0.6 runs on average.
[ 04 ] PROP REGRESSION
620 props, re-priced in real-time
Ks · HITS · HR · RBI · TOTAL BASES · SB · SAVES · PITCHER OUTS — every prop line is compared against our matchup-weighted projection and opponent bullpen chain.
[ 05 ] LIVE ODDS SIGNALS
Cross-book movement alerts
When smart money hits a book, we see it first. 78 signals active right now. Average time-to-alert: 1.4 seconds across 18 books.
[ 06 ] IMMUTABLE AUDIT
Every pick, timestamped.
No retroactive edits. No deleted losses. Every MLB pick is logged before first pitch with full line, odds, and probability. Zero cappers can match this transparency.
mlb_pnl.log — bash
// last 15 mlb picks — @ $100/unit $ edge-terminal --sport=mlb --last=15 [W] LAD @ SD · ML -135 · +$74.07 [W] ATL @ PHI · RL +1.5 -145 · +$68.97 [W] HOU @ TEX · UNDER 8.5 · +$95.24 [L] NYY @ BOS · ML +118 · -$100.00 [W] SKENES Ks · OVER 7.5 · +$104.00 [W] JUDGE TB · OVER 1.5 · +$86.96 [W] MIL @ CHC · F5 ML -110 · +$90.91 [L] NYM @ MIA · RL -1.5 +130 · -$100.00 [W] OHTANI HR · YES +295 · +$295.00 [W] TOR @ CLE · UNDER 7.5 · +$93.46 [W] SEA @ LAA · NRFI -115 · +$86.96 [L] STRIDER Ks · OVER 9.5 · -$100.00 [W] BETTS HITS · OVER 1.5 · +$112.00 [W] ARI @ SF · OVER 8 · +$90.91 [W] COLE OUTS · OVER 17.5 · +$95.24 ───────────────────────────────────────── RECORD: 12W - 3L WIN%: 80.0% NET P&L: +$1,084.58 UNITS: +10.85u ROI: +72.3% CLV: +2.5% ─────────────────────────────────────────
// coverage.mlb()

Every game.
Every market.
Every prop.

Full MLB coverage — all 30 teams, every game of the 162-game regular season plus Spring Training and the full postseason through the World Series. Every major market priced against our model in real time, every 60 seconds.

MARKETS COVERED
MONEYLINE RUN LINE TOTAL RUNS FIRST 5 INNINGS NRFI / YRFI TEAM TOTAL INNING LINES LIVE IN-GAME CROSS-BOOK
PLAYER PROPS
STRIKEOUTS PITCHER OUTS EARNED RUNS HITS ALLOWED HITS HOME RUNS RBIs TOTAL BASES RUNS SCORED STOLEN BASES SAVES FIRST HOME RUN
// compare.execute()

Edge Terminal vs.
your favorite MLB capper.

Baseball is the most data-rich sport in the world — and one of the hardest to beat. Variance is brutal. Starter scratches move markets in minutes. Weather shifts totals by a run. If you're not faster than the book, you're paying the vig. Most MLB cappers lose money long-term. We don't.

EDGE TERMINAL / MLB
Model trained on 6.8M pitches · 12 MLB seasons
Re-prices every line in 1.4 seconds across 18 books
Verified 58.3% MLB win rate · every pick timestamped
Flat 1.0u sizing — no "LOCK OF THE NIGHT" nonsense
Lineup & weather changes trigger automatic re-pricing
620 player props scanned every refresh
Positive CLV: +2.5% · beats the closing line consistently
Pure expected value. Emotionless. Published losses.
VS
MLB "CAPPER"
"Trust me, the Dodgers are hot right now"
Posts the line an hour after it moves
"73% all-time" — but Discord reset in April
"10-UNIT LOCK" every damn day
Hasn't heard the ace got scratched
Covers moneyline only, NRFI/YRFI is "a gimmick"
Almost always taking the stale number
Emotional. Biased. Long-term losing.
// access.apply()

Stop guessing.
Start computing.

MLB access is invite-only. We cap membership to protect line value for existing users. Apply now — if you qualify, we'll send you tonight's board inside 24 hours.

APPLY FOR ACCESS →
SEE TONIGHT'S BOARD
58.3%
MLB WIN RATE · YTD
+186.2u
YTD PROFIT @ $100/u
TOP 0.05%
OF ALL MLB BETTORS